Ceske Budejovice 3-2 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Apr 2024

Ceske Budejovice
3-2 HT 1-1
Slovan Liberec
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2023/2024

Ceske Budejovice vs Slovan Liberec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceske Budejovice v Slovan Liberec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.54/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.32
+32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ceske Budejovice vs Slovan Liberec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
13.05.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 4-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
07.05.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-2 HT 2-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
05.02.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
21.08.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
19.12.2021 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK

Ceske Budejovice 3-2 Slovan Liberec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
3-2
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.38 xG 0.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
232 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceske Budejovice nicked a narrow win over Slovan Liberec 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Ceske Budejovice made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 43% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 57%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.38 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 1.67 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Slovan Liberec?

Ceske Budejovice 3-2 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 36%, draw 24%, Slovan Liberec 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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