Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.51/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.56
+34% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.5 Crosses 35.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Teplice
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.11.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
19.12.2021 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
21.08.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
11.04.2021 Teplice Teplice 1-3 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-2
AWAY Teplice
0.60 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
355 Passes 219
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice nicked a narrow win over Mlada Boleslav 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 59% of the ball to Teplice's 41%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.60 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 0.67 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 50%, draw 23%, Teplice 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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