Burton Albion vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Burton Albion
İNTK
2-1
HT 0-1
Wrexham
İBSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Burton Albion
İBSL
Burton Albion 0-1 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Wrexham edged past Burton Albion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 44% of the ball to Wrexham's 56%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.33 to 1.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wrexham's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Burton Albion and 1.00 for Wrexham.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Wrexham?
Burton Albion 0-1 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Wrexham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 28%, draw 28%, Wrexham 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.