Cambridge United 4-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.43
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.03
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.44
X/2
10%
6.61
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.26
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.45/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.13
-20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 68%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.8 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 246
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
14.10.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
21.01.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 5-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
26.12.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
05.03.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
23.10.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 4-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
4-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.64 xG 1.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
152 Passes 281
56% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United swept aside Shrewsbury 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cambridge United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 41% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 59%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.64 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cambridge United and 2.00 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Shrewsbury?

Cambridge United 4-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 42%, draw 27%, Shrewsbury 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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