Shrewsbury 1-2 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
11%
4.72
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
15%
3.66
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
17%
4.75
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.11/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.07
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 69%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.7 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 0.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
229 Passes 260
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
21.01.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 5-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
26.12.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
05.03.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
23.10.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 4-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
07.11.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-2
AWAY Cambridge United
0.64 xG 0.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
330 Passes 174
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
13 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cambridge United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 61% of the ball to Cambridge United's 39%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shrewsbury and 0.83 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Cambridge United?

Shrewsbury 1-2 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 35%, draw 28%, Cambridge United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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