Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 0-2
Exeter City
İN1
2-2
HT 0-0
Bristol Rovers
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Exeter City
İN2
5-3
HT 5-0
Bristol Rovers
İNTK
4-1
HT 4-0
Bristol Rovers
İN2
Exeter City 0-1 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol Rovers squeezed past Exeter City 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Bristol Rovers made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Exeter City had 59% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 41%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.75 to 0.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Exeter City.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Exeter City and 1.67 for Bristol Rovers.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers?
Exeter City 0-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 37%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.