Fleetwood Town 3-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.22
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
17%
6.1
X/2
11%
5.05
X/X
12%
4.64
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.22
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.27
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
21.2 Crosses 24.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
286 Passes 220
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.08.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 3-2 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNLK
11.03.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
30.07.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 2-1 HT 2-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
15.09.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNLK
17.07.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town HAZ
30.04.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
3-0
AWAY Port Vale
2.00 xG 0.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
179 Passes 299
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town cruised past Port Vale 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fleetwood Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 40% of the ball to Port Vale's 60%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.00 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.33 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Port Vale?

Fleetwood Town 3-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 33%, draw 28%, Port Vale 39%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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