Brentwood 3-5 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-10.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentwood EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 66%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brentwood vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United beat Brentwood 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Brentwood vs Southend United?

Brentwood 3-5 Southend United in the England - FA Cup on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentwood vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brentwood 26%, draw 22%, Southend United 52%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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