Sutton United 3-3 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
01.02.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
26.10.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 2-3 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
26.01.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
14.08.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
21.04.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and Ebbsfleet United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sutton United and 1.00 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Sutton United 3-3 Ebbsfleet United in the England - FA Cup on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 52%, draw 23%, Ebbsfleet United 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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