Luzern vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Luzern v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
Luzern vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Luzern
İSV
1-0
HT 0-0
Luzern
İSV
3-2
HT 2-1
Lugano
İSV
2-2
HT 2-0
Lugano
İSV
1-1
HT 1-1
Luzern
İSV
Luzern 1-4 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano cruised past Luzern 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Lugano made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Luzern had 44% of the ball to Lugano's 56%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.96 to 2.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luzern and 1.50 for Lugano.
What was the final score of Luzern vs Lugano?
Luzern 1-4 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Luzern vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Luzern 38%, draw 26%, Lugano 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.