Real Madrid (K) 4-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.22
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.74
Over 2.5
50%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
77%
-44.0pp
33%
Draw
14%
+18.9pp
33%
Away Win
8%
+24.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
33%
+17.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
67%
-17.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.24/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.95
-19% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
19.9 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.77 xG 0.23
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 2
465 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 5
33 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
4-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.78 xG 1.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
503 Passes 238
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sevilla (K) 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 64% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 36%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.78 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 4-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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