Sevilla (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.71
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+15.3pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.7pp
33%
Away Win
61%
-28.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.23 xG 1.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 17
202 Passes 465
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Sevilla (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 35% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 65%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.23 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Sevilla (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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