Madrid CFF (K) 1-2 Eibar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.45
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
65%
-31.3pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.6pp
33%
Away Win
15%
+18.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.49/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.93
+95% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
13.0 Crosses 10.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
1-2
AWAY Eibar (K)
1.41 xG 2.54
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
447 Passes 128
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
19 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Eibar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar (K) nicked a narrow win over Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Eibar (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 69% of the ball to Eibar (K)'s 31%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.41 to 2.54.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 1-2 Eibar (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Eibar (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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