Tenerife (K) 1-1 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.47
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
64%
-30.3pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.7pp
33%
Away Win
16%
+17.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.22/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.21
-42% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.0 Crosses 16.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
1-1
AWAY Villarreal (K)
1.33 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
229 Passes 207
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) and Villarreal (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 50% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.33 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Tenerife (K) 1-1 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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