Sportfreunde Lotte 5-1 Uerdingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Uerdingen EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.94/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.18
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +55%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Uerdingen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Uerdingen Uerdingen 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
06.04.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Uerdingen Uerdingen ALMBÖL
06.10.2021 Uerdingen Uerdingen 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
06.04.2019 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-3 HT 0-3 Uerdingen Uerdingen AL3
27.10.2018 Uerdingen Uerdingen 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte AL3
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Uerdingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte cruised past Uerdingen 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uerdingen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.20 for Uerdingen.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Uerdingen?

Sportfreunde Lotte 5-1 Uerdingen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Uerdingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 49%, draw 22%, Uerdingen 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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