Uerdingen 0-2 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+10.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uerdingen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 51%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.51/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uerdingen
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Uerdingen Uerdingen ALMBÖL
06.10.2021 Uerdingen Uerdingen 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
06.04.2019 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-3 HT 0-3 Uerdingen Uerdingen AL3
27.10.2018 Uerdingen Uerdingen 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uerdingen
0-2
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Uerdingen vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte got the better of Uerdingen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Sportfreunde Lotte made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Uerdingen had 45% of the ball to Sportfreunde Lotte's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uerdingen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uerdingen and 0.75 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Uerdingen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Uerdingen 0-2 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uerdingen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uerdingen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uerdingen 39%, draw 24%, Sportfreunde Lotte 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uerdingen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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