SGV Freiberg 2-2 Göppinger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Göppinger SV EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SGV Freiberg
2-2
AWAY Göppinger SV
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Göppinger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg and Göppinger SV shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was SGV Freiberg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SGV Freiberg had 59% of the ball to Göppinger SV's 41%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Göppinger SV?

SGV Freiberg 2-2 Göppinger SV in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Göppinger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 50%, draw 26%, Göppinger SV 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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