Lehnerz 1-1 Villingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.18
Over 2.5
43%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Villingen EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lehnerz
1-1
AWAY Villingen
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz and Villingen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lehnerz at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lehnerz had 48% of the ball to Villingen's 52%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Villingen?

Lehnerz 1-1 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Villingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 48%, draw 30%, Villingen 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lehnerz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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