Vilzing 3-1 Türkgücü München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 19%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.10/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.59
-49% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.0
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Türkgücü München
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.10.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
25.04.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 3-2 HT 2-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 3-0 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Türkgücü München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing saw off Türkgücü München 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vilzing as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vilzing and 2.00 for Türkgücü München.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Türkgücü München?

Vilzing 3-1 Türkgücü München in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Türkgücü München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 53%, draw 26%, Türkgücü München 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vilzing), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vilzing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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