Hoffenheim II 2-2 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
2.96/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.31
+38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim II
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.11.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
09.12.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 5-4 HT 3-3 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
26.03.2022 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 1-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-5 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim II
2-2
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim II vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim II and Astoria Walldorf couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hoffenheim II at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hoffenheim II had 58% of the ball to Astoria Walldorf's 42%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim II had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hoffenheim II and 1.17 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim II vs Astoria Walldorf?

Hoffenheim II 2-2 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim II vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim II 57%, draw 26%, Astoria Walldorf 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✗ Under 2.5
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