Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
23%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
39%
+11.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
32%
-9.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.28/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.26
-21% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
296 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 4-2 HT 1-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.02.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-1 HT 2-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1-1
AWAY Babelsberg
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig and Babelsberg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chemie Leipzig at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 45% of the ball to Babelsberg's 55%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.33 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg?

Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 51%, draw 26%, Babelsberg 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chemie Leipzig), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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