Türkgücü München 1-0 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-8.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+8.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 48%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
0.78/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.30
-43% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkgücü München
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-3 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-2 HT 1-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-2 HT 0-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
20.09.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Türkgücü München vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkgücü München squeezed past Greuther Fürth II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Türkgücü München and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Türkgücü München vs Greuther Fürth II?

Türkgücü München 1-0 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkgücü München vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Türkgücü München 34%, draw 25%, Greuther Fürth II 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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