Velez Mostar 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

Velez Mostar
1-0 HT 0-0
Sloboda Tuzla
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League – 2025/2026

Velez Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Velez Mostar v Sloboda Tuzla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.83/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.69
-25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Velez Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
19.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
16.10.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
14.09.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
05.07.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla HAZ
10.04.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar nicked a narrow win over Sloboda Tuzla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Velez Mostar and 0.67 for Sloboda Tuzla.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla?

Velez Mostar 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 62%, draw 20%, Sloboda Tuzla 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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