Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.15
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Velez Mostar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
16.10.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
14.09.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
05.07.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla HAZ
10.04.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
08.11.2021 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
1-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sloboda Tuzla and Velez Mostar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sloboda Tuzla had 57% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.83 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar?

Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sloboda Tuzla 33%, draw 29%, Velez Mostar 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Velez Mostar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
14 Sep 2024
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