FK Sarajevo 2-2 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.79/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.91
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Posusje
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.05.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
11.11.2023 Posusje Posusje 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
11.08.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
20.03.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
23.10.2022 Posusje Posusje 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
06.08.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Posusje shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FK Sarajevo at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.33 for Posusje.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Posusje?

FK Sarajevo 2-2 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 55%, draw 26%, Posusje 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
14 Sep 2024
17:00 Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar Analysis →