FK Sarajevo 1-1 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 20 May 2024

FK Sarajevo
1-1 HT 0-0
Posusje
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League – 2023/2024

FK Sarajevo vs Posusje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Sarajevo v Posusje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.83/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.37
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

FK Sarajevo vs Posusje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Posusje
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Posusje Posusje 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
11.08.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
20.03.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
23.10.2022 Posusje Posusje 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
06.08.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
20.03.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 6-0 HT 3-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN

FK Sarajevo 1-1 Posusje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-1
AWAY Posusje
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Posusje couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. FK Sarajevo carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 46% of the ball to Posusje's 54%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.17 for Posusje.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Posusje?

FK Sarajevo 1-1 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 56%, draw 23%, Posusje 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5
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