Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 Tuzla City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
85%
-9.4pp
14%
Draw
8%
+5.4pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuzla City EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.67/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.10
+25% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -1%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
475 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tuzla City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-1 HT 1-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
27.09.2023 Tuzla City Tuzla City 2-4 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
19.04.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 HT 1-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSK
05.04.2023 Tuzla City Tuzla City 0-3 HT 0-3 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
13.11.2022 Tuzla City Tuzla City 1-2 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
26.10.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
4-0
AWAY Tuzla City
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Tuzla City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar ran out comfortable winners over Tuzla City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%) came in.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 67% of the ball to Tuzla City's 33%, shots finished 26-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.67 for Tuzla City.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Tuzla City?

Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 Tuzla City in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Tuzla City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 76%, draw 14%, Tuzla City 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
20 May 2024
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