Baroka 4-2 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -4%
1.69/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.12
+43% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Venda FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
10.03.2024 Baroka Baroka 0-1 HT 0-0 Venda FC GAF1
08.10.2023 Venda FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
18.02.2023 Baroka Baroka 3-1 HT 3-1 Venda FC GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
4-2
AWAY Venda FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka beat Venda FC 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baroka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baroka had 43% of the ball to Venda FC's 57%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baroka and 0.67 for Venda FC.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Venda FC?

Baroka 4-2 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baroka 44%, draw 24%, Venda FC 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baroka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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