Jong Sparta 4-2 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+2.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.3pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.19/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.65
-32% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Noordwijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
23.03.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-0 HT 0-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
14.10.2023 Noordwijk Noordwijk 0-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
4-2
AWAY Noordwijk
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta saw off Noordwijk 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jong Sparta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 47% of the ball to Noordwijk's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jong Sparta and 0.00 for Noordwijk.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Noordwijk?

Jong Sparta 4-2 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 44%, draw 20%, Noordwijk 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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