SV Spakenburg 2-0 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 16%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
3.50/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.34
+69% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +68%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
477 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
30.03.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 2-2 HT 2-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
28.10.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 4-3 HT 2-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg beat Jong Almere City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for SV Spakenburg and 2.50 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City?

SV Spakenburg 2-0 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 55%, draw 23%, Jong Almere City 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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