Jong Almere City 2-2 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.3pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.51
+84% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 1
28.10.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 4-3 HT 2-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City and SV Spakenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SV Spakenburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs SV Spakenburg?

Jong Almere City 2-2 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 35%, draw 20%, SV Spakenburg 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Spakenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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