Noordwijk 1-2 Kozakken Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.51
Over 2.5
41%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.5
No
60%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
36%
+22.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
64%
-22.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
62%
-22.8pp
60%
BTTS No
38%
+22.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 27%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.06/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.70
-35% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +139%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kozakken Boys
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
28.10.2023 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 1-3 HT 1-1 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
1-2
AWAY Kozakken Boys
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Kozakken Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozakken Boys nicked a narrow win over Noordwijk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Noordwijk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Noordwijk had 57% of the ball to Kozakken Boys's 43%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Kozakken Boys?

Noordwijk 1-2 Kozakken Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Kozakken Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noordwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 50%, draw 27%, Kozakken Boys 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Noordwijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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