Koninklijke HFC 1-1 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.0pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.64/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/0.66
+1% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +121%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1-1
AWAY Jong Sparta
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC and Jong Sparta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 52% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta?

Koninklijke HFC 1-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 37%, draw 28%, Jong Sparta 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Koninklijke HFC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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