AFC Amsterdamsche 1-1 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
2.01/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.72 xG 0.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
325 Passes 157
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
43 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 16
28.10.2023 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
26.10.2019 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1-1
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche and Rijnsburgse Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 54% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 46%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 1.50 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-1 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 40%, draw 28%, Rijnsburgse Boys 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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