30/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
32%
Draw
24%
34%
Away Win
36%
51%
Under 2.5
44%
49%
Over 2.5
56%
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
50%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HHC Hardenberg v GVVV — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
HHC Hardenberg
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
GVVV
EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
+150%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
296 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.5
POST-MATCH
HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
GVVV edged past HHC Hardenberg 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; GVVV found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV?
HHC Hardenberg 0-1 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs GVVV?
Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 34%, draw 32%, GVVV 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34)
✓ Under 2.5
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
30 Mar 2024