Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 De Treffers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
35%
4.08
Away
35%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.7pp
35%
Draw
21%
+13.4pp
35%
Away Win
55%
-20.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY De Treffers EU Bookmakers 59%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-61% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-1D-1L
AWAY De Treffers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
181 Passes 400
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 54
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 De Treffers De Treffers 4-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
02.09.2017 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 HT 0-0 De Treffers De Treffers HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-1
AWAY De Treffers
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs De Treffers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Treffers edged past Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 35%) promised a tight game; De Treffers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 46% of the ball to De Treffers's 54%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, De Treffers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.50 for De Treffers.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs De Treffers?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 De Treffers in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs De Treffers?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Treffers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 30%, draw 35%, De Treffers 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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