Fajr Sepasi 4-1 Shahrdari Noshahr FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
16%
Away Win
19%
-3.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.67/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+28% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi cruised past Shahrdari Noshahr FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Fajr Sepasi 4-1 Shahrdari Noshahr FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 56%, draw 28%, Shahrdari Noshahr FC 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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