Al Ahli 2-2 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.56
2-3 Goals
38%
2.25
4-5 Goals
26%
2.37
6+ Goals
15%
4.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.07/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.27
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 85%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
10.8 Crosses 14.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.83
1.46 xG 4.01
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 7
229 Passes 461
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-9 HT 1-3 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.08.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
20.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
07.10.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
17.08.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
21.02.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-8 HT 0-5 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli and Al Sadd couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sadd at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli and 4.83 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Sadd?

Al Ahli 2-2 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 26%, draw 25%, Al Sadd 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
7 Dec 2024
17:30 Al Duhail SC vs Al Khor Analysis →
17:30 Qatar SC vs Al Rayyan Analysis →