Al Ahli 1-9 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.95
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
57%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
4.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
10.75
2-3 Goals
42%
2.64
4-5 Goals
26%
2.31
6+ Goals
13%
3.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+13.2pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.6pp
57%
Away Win
77%
-19.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 81%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.61/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.65
+9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -26%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 82%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.9
12.6 Crosses 22.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.95 xG 4.34
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 9
242 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
20.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
07.10.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
17.08.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
21.02.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-8 HT 0-5 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
30.10.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd swept aside Al Ahli 9-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 9-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli and 4.00 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Sadd?

Al Ahli 1-9 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 23%, draw 20%, Al Sadd 57%. The final score 1-9 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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