Umm Salal vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 3-1
Al Arabi
KATYK
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Arabi
KATYK
1-1
HT 0-0
Umm Salal
KAT
2-0
HT 1-0
Umm Salal
KAT
2-1
HT 0-1
Al Arabi
KATYK
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Arabi
KAT
Umm Salal edged past Al Arabi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Umm Salal and 1.50 for Al Arabi.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
Umm Salal 2-1 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 23%, draw 25%, Al Arabi 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.