Al Muaidar 2-5 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
33%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.89/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.12
+116% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Muaidar
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
0.98 xG 1.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
305 Passes 492
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.08.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KAT
31.01.2014 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 0-5 HT 0-3 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Muaidar
2-5
AWAY Al Duhail SC
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Al Muaidar vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC cruised past Al Muaidar 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Muaidar had 65% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 35%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Muaidar and 4.50 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Muaidar vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Muaidar 2-5 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Muaidar vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Muaidar 29%, draw 23%, Al Duhail SC 48%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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