Sirens 3-1 Santa Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.5pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sirens EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sirens
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Santa Lucia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
29.10.2023 Sirens Sirens 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
12.03.2023 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
29.10.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
23.01.2022 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
POST-MATCH Sirens vs Santa Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sirens got the better of Santa Lucia 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sirens as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sirens had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sirens and 0.60 for Santa Lucia.

What was the final score of Sirens vs Santa Lucia?

Sirens 3-1 Santa Lucia in the Malta - FA Cup on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sirens vs Santa Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sirens win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sirens 49%, draw 27%, Santa Lucia 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sirens) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sirens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →