Santa Lucia 1-1 Sirens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Santa Lucia
1-1 HT 0-0
Sirens
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2023/2024

Santa Lucia vs Sirens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Lucia v Sirens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sirens EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.72/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.47
+29% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Santa Lucia vs Sirens Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Lucia
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Sirens
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Sirens Sirens 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
12.03.2023 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
29.10.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
23.01.2022 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP

Santa Lucia 1-1 Sirens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Lucia
1-1
AWAY Sirens
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Lucia vs Sirens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Lucia and Sirens shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Lucia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Santa Lucia had 55% of the ball to Sirens's 45%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sirens led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Lucia and 1.00 for Sirens.

What was the final score of Santa Lucia vs Sirens?

Santa Lucia 1-1 Sirens in the Malta - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Lucia vs Sirens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Lucia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Lucia 43%, draw 31%, Sirens 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Lucia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Lucia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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