Hibernians FC 0-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
1.08/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-22% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
0-2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions beat Hibernians FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 52% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Hibernians FC 0-2 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 48%, draw 26%, Naxxar Lions 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernians FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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