Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.2pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.91/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.76
+13% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +124%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Valletta
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
15.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
11.02.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
08.10.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
13.12.2021 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-1
AWAY Valletta
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans and Valletta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 52% of the ball to Valletta's 48%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.40 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta?

Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 52%, draw 30%, Valletta 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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