Birkirkara 1-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.67/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.09
+22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
15.02.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTAK
10.12.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
19.01.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 HT 0-2 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-1
AWAY Balzan FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara and Balzan FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Birkirkara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Birkirkara had 56% of the ball to Balzan FC's 44%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Birkirkara and 1.25 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Balzan FC?

Birkirkara 1-1 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 43%, draw 29%, Balzan FC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birkirkara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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