Hibernians FC 3-2 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 25%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.06/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.79
-26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Mosta
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
17.12.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
21.01.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.09.2022 Mosta Mosta 0-5 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
22.01.2022 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
3-2
AWAY Mosta
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC squeezed past Mosta 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hibernians FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 51% of the ball to Mosta's 49%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Hibernians FC and 0.40 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Mosta?

Hibernians FC 3-2 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 45%, draw 26%, Mosta 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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