Mosta 1-0 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Mosta
1-0 HT 1-0
Hibernians FC
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2024/2025

Mosta vs Hibernians FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.8pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mosta v Hibernians FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.24/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.54
+34% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Mosta vs Hibernians FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Hibernians FC
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
21.01.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.09.2022 Mosta Mosta 0-5 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
22.01.2022 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP

Mosta 1-0 Hibernians FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
1-0
AWAY Hibernians FC
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta edged past Hibernians FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Mosta had 36% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 64%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Mosta and 2.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Hibernians FC?

Mosta 1-0 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mosta 22%, draw 33%, Hibernians FC 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernians FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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