Mafra U23 1-0 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
20%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 62%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-0
AWAY Benfica U23
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 14
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 nicked a narrow win over Benfica U23 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 33% of the ball to Benfica U23's 67%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Benfica U23?

Mafra U23 1-0 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 20%, draw 29%, Benfica U23 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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