Göztepe 3-1 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
27%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.5pp
27%
Draw
16%
+10.2pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.63/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.06
+54% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
14.9 Crosses 13.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.62 xG 2.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
376 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.05.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 7-0 HT 5-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
26.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
22.04.2017 Göztepe Göztepe 3-2 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
25.11.2016 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
02.04.2016 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
29.10.2015 Göztepe Göztepe 1-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
3-1
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.35 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
26 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
246 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
49 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe beat Adana Demirspor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Göztepe had 46% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 54%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.35 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göztepe and 2.83 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Adana Demirspor?

Göztepe 3-1 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 59%, draw 27%, Adana Demirspor 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Over 2.5
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